ArticlesNFL Bets

G’s Guarantees NFL TNF Picks and Props!

Tonight’s matchup features the 0-1(0-1 ATS) New York Giants on the road against the 0-1(0-1 ATS) Washington Football Team. The Giants were HORRIBLE last week on both sides of the ball. They only managed 60 yards rushing and 250 yards passing last week at home against the Broncos. Most of the passing yards came on a late 4th Quarter touchdown where Denver was playing a prevent style defense. Their OL was the main issue and ranked as one of the worst in the NFL last week. Defensively, they could not pressure the QB and could not avoid the big play. Multiple deep crosses to Noah Fant and a 70 yard TD run by Melvin Gordon are just a few of those big plays. WFT battled in a rock fight against the LA Chargers, but came up short losing 20-16. Their passing attack was almost non-existent, but starting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick got knocked out early in that game with a hip injury. Taylor Heinicke will start and he was solid last year in a limited sample size. WFT wins games with their rushing attack and defense. Antonio Gibson should have a field day against this Giants defensive front. He had over 100 scrimmage yards against a solid Chargers defense last week. The WFT DL should dominate the outmatched Giants OL. With how bad the Giants looked last week you would think this game would be WFT -5 or -6, well that is dead wrong as this game opened at WFT -4.5. Since opening, this game has been bet hard down to WFT -3/-3.5. There are two betting trends I found interesting researching this game. Since 2014, 60% of teams that lost by double digits week 1 covered in week 2. Also, since 2005 week 2 divisional unders are hitting at a 59% clip going 55-38-1. There is a ton of uncertainty in this game. Giants have said Saquon Barkley is still not ready for a full work load, WFT is now starting a backup QB on a short week, and both offenses looked brutal last week. My favorite play on the side and total here is a 2 part teaser. In this bet you get to move the spread and total 6 points each.

The Pick: 2 Part Teaser – Giants +9.5/Under 46.5

Player Prop Bets!

Sterling Shepard O4.5 Receptions -148

Giants paid a pretty penny for big bodied WR Kenny Golladay in free agency so he must be the number 1 target right? Wrong! In week 1, Shepard lead the team in targets getting 9, catching 7 of those for 113 yards and 1 TD. This week he has a juicy matchup in the slot against so-so corner Daryl Roberts. Also, Evan Engram has been ruled out so Shepard will be in full control of all passes over the middle. With Saquon Barkley still banged up and the WFT having a dominate DL, I expect the ball to come out of Daniel Jones hand fast and find his favorite target Sterling Shepard. Shepard has also caught 6 or more balls in 7 of his last 8 games. Love this play up to 5.5 receptions!

Daniel Jones O20.5 Rushing Yards -110

Simply put, this Giants OL is abysmal. Daniel Jones had to run for his life last week at home against the Broncos. This week the Giants are in a hostile environment, on a short week, and against a better defensive front. The OL issues are not going to miraculously fix themselves over night. With Barkley’s health limitations, I expect more drop backs and more potential scrambles for Danny Dimes. Last week, he scrambled 6 times for 27 yards. Jones has went over this rushing total 8 of his last 15 games. 

Antonio Gibson O70.5 Rushing Yards -110

Gibson had a massive workload last week rushing 20 times for 90 yards. This is encouraging considering he rarely saw over 15 carries last year. Also, the Chargers front 7 is way scarier than the Giants front 7. Gibson is expected to see a massive work load again, especially with the injury to starting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. Also, with the total set at a low 40.5, this suggest a more ground and pound style of game. The Giants let up 165 yards rushing last week to a worse OL in the Broncos. The WFT needs to limit mistakes to win this game and I expect a heavy dose of Gibson to take the pressure off now starting QB Taylor Heinicke.

Anytime Touchdown Parlay!

Antonio Gibson And Sterling Shepard to Score +695

As I mentioned in their player prop analysis, I expect these guys to have the ball a lot. This should lead to a handful of scoring opportunities. With a total only at 40.5, I don’t want to bet on more than 2 guys to score a touchdown. 
Best of luck!

Leave a Reply